Significance of Knowing When to Quit in currency exchange
Monday, November 30th, 2009As much as you’ve probably heard how plenty of people struck it big in the forex market, you’d also undoubtedly have come across the assorted horror stories from those that lost a lot of cash very fast.
Dependent on how doubtful you are you could either take these horror stories gravely, or not seriously enough. Either way the fact of the affair is that many folks do end up losing money in the foreign exchange for a particularly straightforward reason : they don’t know when to give up.
To illustrate what we mean, let’s go over a quick example. Say you have US$ 100,000 that you want to invest in the currency market. That is not a shabby amount, and you figure that if you pick the correct investment, you could actually make a fortune.
So you look at the market, and feel that using your US$ 100,000 to buy Aus$, which is at present being sold at 1.4244 Aus$ per US$, would be a smart idea since it appears to be quite high and the Australian dollar will probably pick up soon.
With that, you buy into that currency, and you now have Aus$ 142,440. Great!
Unfortunately, this is where things start to go screwy. Instead of the exchange rate improving, it actually does the opposite, and after twenty-four hours you find that it is now 1.4544 Aus$ per US$. At that point, if you were to sell you’d end up losing a ton.
rather than selling and stopping up losing, you choose to wait and hope that it improves. Come the following day though, you find the exchange rate has fluctuated in the wrong direction again, and is now 1.4554 Aus$ per US$.
At this point you figure that it is not going to get worse, and so you choose to hold for some time more. But what if it gets worse? What if it hits a record low and you’re stuck with the chance of losing over half your investment if you sell your Aus$? How long are you going to hold on to that currency though?
See, this is the problem with not knowing when to give up. Ideally, an experienced investor would have outlined a stop order right at the start, probably for $1.4344 Aus$ per US$. That way, the second the market began going the wrong way, you’d sell and be out of it.
Sure, you’d still lose some cash, but it is better than losing more than you ever predicted.
unfortunately, plenty still finish up doing exactly what we just discussed in that example, and hold on for far too long, with far not enough reason to do so. End of the day, the choice is yours, but knowing when to quit is definitely one feature that will serve you well.
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